RETHINKING LEBANON--WHO WON WHAT?

Some interesting aspects.

In Egypt, pressure mounts on the Egyptian government to revise upwards the price of EMG gas to Israel.
I previously linked to an article from The Daily News Egypt about this.
The conflicts over EMG continue.

Concurrently, the seemingly defunct BG/PA/Israel gas deal is being "rumored" as a possibility, again.
What has this to do with Lebanon?

In the following article a reminder, the defunct BG/PA gas deal initially was partnered with the Christian Lebanese Khoury family.
Israel Corp's owner, the Ofer family, are partnered with Lebanon's Khoury family at the Middle East Strategy Group in the Aspen Institute.
First, the article, "Israel Corp Looks At BG's Share of Gaza Natural Gas":

www.haaretz.com/hasen/spages/982107.html

Then, regarding the relationship of Lebanon's Khoury, Israel's Ofer and the MESG at Aspen Institute:

www.aspeninstitute.org/site/pp.aspx?c=huLWJeMRKpH&b=611997&printmode=1
Additionally:
www.sourcewatch.org/index.php?title=Aspen_Institute_/_Middle_East_Strategy_Group

Now, of course, the recent agreement in Lebanon is presented as a victory of sorts for a supposed Hezbollah "opposition."

However, consider the implications of the following two articles when taken together along with the possible revived BG/Ofer/Khoury/Israel gas deal.
The first one quotes Khoury:

www.thestar.com/article/428492

And, then, Condi Rice's comments:

www.naharnet.com/domino/tn/NewsDesk.nsf/getstory?openform&7F6F9453009D9C11C2257452000D0238.

If any or all of the above comes to fruition, which I believe to be the case, Hezbollah's recent military confrontation and subsequent political agreement sets the legal, political framework for their own liquidation and/or marginalization.
Why bother to stage a confrontation, only to agree to conditions which actually contain and limit them more than the position from which they began?

I believe the entire provocation was a staged event so that it would seem like a political, face saving victory for Hezbollah and Iran, while, in reality, the desired outcome, above, was a grand, predetermined, bargain, including the Khoury/Ofer deal.
If not, Hezbollah will go the way of Sadr.

Most importantly, the timing of the provocation was strategically chosen to coincide with Lebanon's general strike, as I said in a previous post, effectively nullifying it. Not an accident. Very important.

For some interesting background, anlaysis and first hand comments on this matter, scroll down the following link to May 11, under the subheading, "Letters From Beirut":

http://www.lebanon.foreignpolicyblogs.com/